IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
SIU Edwardsville
Ohio Valley
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-12.5	#331
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.4	#132
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.7	#327

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.8	#321

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.2%	0.9%	0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	14.9	15.6

.500 or above	2.3%	22.0%	2.1%
.500 or above in Conference	8.7%	31.4%	8.5%
Conference Champion	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	33.3%	18.9%	33.5%

First Four	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
First Round	0.1%	0.9%	0.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Saint Louis (Away) - 0.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 3	1 - 7	1 - 13
Quad 4	5 - 9	6 - 21

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	52	@ Saint Louis	L	58-83	1%
Nov 26, 2020	30	LSU	L	66-90	1%
Nov 28, 2020	160	Eastern Michigan	L	62-74	13%
Dec 02, 2020	189	@ Northern Illinois	L	61-75	10%
Dec 05, 2020	196	Nebraska Omaha	L	72-79	25%
Dec 09, 2020	155	@ Valparaiso	L	66-82	8%
Dec 13, 2020	80	@ Northwestern	L	59-81	2%
Dec 18, 2020	296	@ Morehead St.	L	68-76	25%
Dec 21, 2020	186	Eastern Illinois	L	70-78	25%
Jan 02, 2021	255	Jacksonville St.	L	69-73	38%
Jan 05, 2021	186	@ Eastern Illinois	L	67-81	12%
Jan 07, 2021	133	Austin Peay	L	69-80	17%
Jan 09, 2021	105	Murray St.	L	66-80	12%
Jan 14, 2021	211	Eastern Kentucky	L	77-83	30%
Jan 16, 2021	296	Morehead St.	L	71-73	44%
Jan 21, 2021	269	@ Tennessee St.	L	68-77	22%
Jan 23, 2021	114	@ Belmont	L	66-85	5%
Jan 28, 2021	325	@ Southeast Missouri St.	L	70-74	38%
Jan 30, 2021	324	@ Tennessee Martin	L	75-79	37%
Feb 04, 2021	269	Tennessee St.	L	71-74	39%
Feb 06, 2021	114	Belmont	L	69-82	13%
Feb 11, 2021	304	@ Tennessee Tech	L	67-74	28%
Feb 13, 2021	255	@ Jacksonville St.	L	66-76	21%
Feb 18, 2021	133	@ Austin Peay	L	66-83	8%
Feb 20, 2021	105	@ Murray St.	L	63-83	5%
Feb 25, 2021	324	Tennessee Martin	W	78-76	56%
Feb 27, 2021	325	Southeast Missouri St.	W	73-71	58%
Projected Record						6 - 21	5 - 15

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st															0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1	1st
2nd													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.3	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0						0.7	3rd
4th										0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.3	0.1								1.5	4th
5th									0.0	0.3	0.8	1.1	0.6	0.1	0.0								2.9	5th
6th								0.0	0.6	1.6	1.7	0.6	0.1	0.0									4.7	6th
7th						0.0	0.1	0.9	2.5	2.3	0.9	0.1											6.9	7th
8th						0.1	1.4	3.4	3.3	1.1	0.1	0.0											9.4	8th
9th				0.0	0.2	2.1	5.1	4.0	1.2	0.1													12.9	9th
10th			0.0	0.7	3.3	6.1	4.5	1.5	0.1														16.2	10th
11th		0.2	2.0	5.8	7.2	4.2	1.1	0.1	0.0														20.6	11th
12th	2.0	5.4	7.5	5.6	2.8	0.5	0.0																23.9	12th

Total	2.0	5.6	9.5	12.1	13.6	13.1	12.3	10.0	7.7	5.5	3.7	2.3	1.4	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0				Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-3	78.6%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-4	77.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
15-5	1.4%	0.0			0.0	0.0
14-6	2.8%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.0%
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.0%																							0.0
18-2	0.0%																				0.0			0.0
17-3	0.0%																				0.0			0.0
16-4	0.1%		32.0%	32.0%		15.0															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
15-5	0.2%		7.7%	7.7%		15.1																0.0	0.0	0.2
14-6	0.4%		5.9%	5.9%		15.4															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3
13-7	0.6%		5.5%	5.5%		15.8																0.0	0.0	0.6
12-8	1.4%		1.4%	1.4%		15.6																0.0	0.0	1.4
11-9	2.3%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	2.3
10-10	3.7%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	3.7
9-11	5.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	5.5
8-12	7.7%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	7.7
7-13	10.0%																							10.0
6-14	12.3%																							12.3
5-15	13.1%																							13.1
4-16	13.6%																							13.6
3-17	12.1%																							12.1
2-18	9.5%																							9.5
1-19	5.6%																							5.6
0-20	2.0%																							2.0

Total	100%		0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	15.6															0.0	0.1	0.1	99.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	1.6%